Political maths of Assembly-Lok Sabha for BJP.
Political maths of Assembly-Lok Sabha for BJP.
News2News.in Explainer: The results of the Karnataka assembly elections are out. Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has faced a bad defeat. The power of the state has now gone into the hands of the Congress. If you look at the election statistics, the Congress won 135 seats in the elections. In 2018, Congress had got 80 seats. At the same time, BJP got 104 seats, which has now been reduced to 66 seats. However, the equations of the Bharatiya Janata Party have been such that even if the party has to face defeat in the assembly, it gets more seats in the Lok Sabha. Come, let us know in today’s News2News.in Explainer that in which states Modi and team win most of the Lok Sabha seats even after getting fewer seats in the assembly elections.
karnataka election
In the Karnataka Assembly Elections 2018, the Bharatiya Janata Party formed the government by winning 104 seats. This had an impact on the 2019 general elections as well and the BJP registered a historic victory on 25 out of 28 seats. But due to the defeat in Karnataka elections 2023, the chances of reducing the seats of BJP are being put towards the opposition parties.
bengal election
Talking about the West Bengal Assembly Elections 2016, the Bharatiya Janata Party proved to be ineffective in the West Bengal Assembly Elections. In the 2016 elections, where the AITC led by Mamata Banerjee won 211 seats, the Left and the Congress got a total of 70 seats. In these elections, BJP had won only 3 seats. But when the results of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections came, the BJP had won 18 of the 42 seats in Bengal. The seats of the Bharatiya Janata Party increased from 3 to 76 in the 2021 assembly elections, but it will be interesting to see how many seats the BJP can get in Bengal in this Lok Sabha election.
Rajasthan Election
If we look at the Rajasthan assembly elections 2018, the Congress returned to power by winning 100 seats, but the Bharatiya Janata Party got only 73 seats in this election. The Lok Sabha elections held a year later in 2019 turned the tide and the BJP won 24 of the 25 Lok Sabha seats. This year again there are assembly elections in Rajasthan and next year Loksabha elections. Now it will be interesting to see that whom the people of Rajasthan send to the Vidhan Sabha and whom to the Lok Sabha this time, it will be clear only after the results are out.
maharashtra general election
In the 2019 Maharashtra general election, the Bharatiya Janata Party won 23 out of 48 seats. At the same time, in the assembly elections held in 2019, this time BJP has come down from 122 seats to 105 seats. Now it will be interesting to see what will be the result of this Lok Sabha election.
Bihar Assembly Election
In the 2015 assembly elections held in Bihar, the BJP had won 53 seats and in the 2019 general elections, the BJP could win only 17 out of 40 seats. However, BJP’s seats have increased to 74 in the 2020 assembly elections. The results of the general elections will tell how much the effect of the increased seats in the Vidhansabha is in the 2024 general elections.
Delhi Assembly Elections
The condition of the Bharatiya Janata Party did not look good in the 2015 Delhi Assembly elections, in which BJP won only 8 seats. But this defeat in Delhi did not affect the General Elections 2019. In the general elections 2019, the BJP secured the entire seat of Puri. In the next year’s 2020 assembly elections, the game turned again and the power once again came into the hands of the Aam Aadmi Party, in this election AAP got 62 seats and BJP got only 8 seats. Whom the people of Delhi choose in this Lok Sabha election, it will be known only after the elections.
Himachal Pradesh Election
The Congress returned to power in the Himachal Pradesh assembly elections last year. In this election Congress got 40 seats and BJP got 25 seats. Let us tell you that in the Himachal Pradesh assembly elections 2017, the Bharatiya Janata Party formed the government by winning 44 seats. On the other hand, in the general elections held in 2019 also, the people of Himachal Pradesh liked the BJP a lot and won all the four seats in the Lok Sabha. Now it has to be seen whether the assembly elections have an impact on the general elections as well or whether the BJP will succeed in its strategy.
BJP successful in Lok Sabha elections
There have been many such assembly elections in the past, in which the BJP had to face defeat. But when the Lok Sabha elections were held in the same states, the people of those states overwhelmingly voted for the BJP. Perhaps this is the reason why the Bharatiya Janata Party does not get much distracted by the defeats in the states and continues its preparations for the upcoming elections. There are assembly elections in many more states before the Lok Sabha elections next year. These states are Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh. Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan currently have Congress governments and BJP in Madhya Pradesh. These elections to be held next year are also being considered as a trial run for the general elections. The results of these elections will prove to be important for all the parties regarding the general elections 2024.
